{ "schemaVersion": 1, "phaseId": "P08.2", "contractId": "AGI-INDIA-WORKFLOW-MEASUREMENT-001", "version": "1.0.0", "generatedAt": "2026-09-11T16:18:42.169Z", "status": "MEASUREMENT_CONTRACT_SEALED_NO_MATCHED_WORKFLOW_YET", "decision": "6_WORKFLOWS_FROZEN_3_BASELINES_1_BLOCKED_0_CAUSAL_MEASUREMENTS", "purpose": "Measure whether increasingly available machine cognition changes a bounded Indian workflow before mapping the change to an issuer or security.", "lineage": { "sourceRightsHash": "500638a49c9d6bf150e686e4df40e4b6dfc7027b87d60cc38588ffba1cd11ff4", "sourceRightsContractId": "AGI-INDIA-SOURCE-RIGHTS-MAP-001", "pilot": "INDIA" }, "policy": { "unitBeforeData": true, "denominatorBeforeNumerator": true, "counterfactualBeforeOutcome": true, "matchedCohortRequired": true, "preAndPostWindowRequired": true, "aggregateDigitisationIsNotAiAdoption": true, "capabilityAvailabilityIsNotWorkflowUse": true, "vacancyMixIsNotDisplacement": true, "crossSourceCausalInferenceAllowed": false, "manualMetricSubstitutionAllowed": false, "unsupportedFieldsPublishAs": "EVIDENCE_BLOCKED", "issuerSelectionAllowed": false, "securitySelectionAllowed": false, "valuationAllowed": false, "portfolioActionAllowed": false }, "measurementStates": [ "NO_NUMERIC_BASELINE", "BASELINE_ONLY", "CAPABILITY_ONLY", "TREATMENT_WITHOUT_CONTROL", "MATCHED_MEASUREMENT_READY", "EVIDENCE_BLOCKED" ], "requiredFields": [ "workflowId", "unitOfObservation", "treatmentDefinition", "adoptionNumerator", "adoptionDenominator", "productivityMetrics", "displacementMetric", "counterfactualDesign", "baselineWindow", "observationWindow", "minimumSample", "sourceIds", "falsifier" ], "workflows": [ { "workflowId": "IND-WF-001", "name": "Software delivery", "sector": "IT_AND_COMMUNICATION", "causalLanes": [ "WORKFLOW_REPRICING", "CAPABILITY_PRICE", "OWNER_CASH_AND_PRICE" ], "unitOfObservation": "Accepted production work item with stable scope and severity", "treatmentDefinition": "Team uses an identified AI coding or research system inside the measured delivery process for the full observation window", "adoptionNumerator": "Eligible work items with verifiable AI-assisted process telemetry", "adoptionDenominator": "All eligible work items completed by the same treated teams in the same period", "productivityMetrics": [ "median_cycle_time_hours", "accepted_items_per_paid_hour", "escaped_defects_per_100_items", "human_review_minutes_per_item" ], "displacementMetric": "Paid human hours per accepted work item, with role-mix changes reported separately", "counterfactualDesign": "Difference-in-differences against matched teams with the same work-item class, seniority mix, customer type and pre-period trend", "baselineWindow": "MINIMUM_90_DAYS_PRE_TREATMENT", "observationWindow": "MINIMUM_90_DAYS_POST_TREATMENT", "minimumSample": { "treatedUnits": 200, "controlUnits": 200, "treatedTeams": 3, "controlTeams": 3 }, "sourceIds": [ "IND-SRC-002", "IND-SRC-015" ], "baselineReceiptIds": [ "IND-OBS-001" ], "currentState": "BASELINE_ONLY", "falsifier": "After quality and scope adjustment, the confidence interval includes no improvement in both cycle time and paid human hours, or defect rates worsen beyond the precommitted tolerance.", "baselineReceiptCount": 1, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "measurementReady": false, "evidenceGap": "OFFICIAL_BASELINE_EXISTS_BUT_AI_TREATMENT_AND_MATCHED_CONTROL_ARE_MISSING" }, { "workflowId": "IND-WF-002", "name": "Customer operations", "sector": "CUSTOMER_CARE_AND_BPM", "causalLanes": [ "WORKFLOW_REPRICING", "LOCALIZATION_CONTROL", "OWNER_CASH_AND_PRICE" ], "unitOfObservation": "Closed customer interaction with stable intent and channel classification", "treatmentDefinition": "Interaction is handled by a named AI system with logged human escalation and final disposition", "adoptionNumerator": "Eligible interactions completed by the AI-assisted path", "adoptionDenominator": "All eligible interactions offered to treated queues during the observation window", "productivityMetrics": [ "cost_per_resolved_interaction", "first_contact_resolution_rate", "median_handle_time_minutes", "reopen_rate" ], "displacementMetric": "Human agent minutes per resolved interaction and paid hours by queue", "counterfactualDesign": "Matched queue or phased rollout using the same intent mix, language, channel, service level and pre-period trend", "baselineWindow": "MINIMUM_56_DAYS_PRE_TREATMENT", "observationWindow": "MINIMUM_56_DAYS_POST_TREATMENT", "minimumSample": { "treatedUnits": 5000, "controlUnits": 5000, "treatedTeams": 2, "controlTeams": 2 }, "sourceIds": [ "IND-SRC-002", "IND-SRC-013", "IND-SRC-015" ], "baselineReceiptIds": [ "IND-OBS-001" ], "currentState": "BASELINE_ONLY", "falsifier": "Quality-adjusted cost per resolved interaction does not fall, or escalation, reopen or complaint rates breach the precommitted tolerance.", "baselineReceiptCount": 1, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "measurementReady": false, "evidenceGap": "OFFICIAL_BASELINE_EXISTS_BUT_AI_TREATMENT_AND_MATCHED_CONTROL_ARE_MISSING" }, { "workflowId": "IND-WF-003", "name": "Administrative and back-office processing", "sector": "ADMINISTRATION_AND_SHARED_SERVICES", "causalLanes": [ "WORKFLOW_REPRICING", "DISTRIBUTION_RAILS", "OWNER_CASH_AND_PRICE" ], "unitOfObservation": "Validated document, claim or transaction completed under one stable process definition", "treatmentDefinition": "The measured process uses an identified AI extraction, reasoning or decision-support system with an auditable review trail", "adoptionNumerator": "Eligible units processed through the AI-assisted route", "adoptionDenominator": "All eligible units entering treated process queues", "productivityMetrics": [ "straight_through_processing_rate", "median_cycle_time_minutes", "cost_per_validated_unit", "material_error_rate" ], "displacementMetric": "Paid human processing and review minutes per validated unit", "counterfactualDesign": "Matched process lane or staggered rollout controlling for document class, complexity, geography and pre-period throughput", "baselineWindow": "MINIMUM_56_DAYS_PRE_TREATMENT", "observationWindow": "MINIMUM_56_DAYS_POST_TREATMENT", "minimumSample": { "treatedUnits": 10000, "controlUnits": 10000, "treatedTeams": 2, "controlTeams": 2 }, "sourceIds": [ "IND-SRC-002", "IND-SRC-015" ], "baselineReceiptIds": [ "IND-OBS-001" ], "currentState": "BASELINE_ONLY", "falsifier": "Quality-adjusted cost and human minutes do not improve together, or material errors exceed the precommitted tolerance.", "baselineReceiptCount": 1, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "measurementReady": false, "evidenceGap": "OFFICIAL_BASELINE_EXISTS_BUT_AI_TREATMENT_AND_MATCHED_CONTROL_ARE_MISSING" }, { "workflowId": "IND-WF-004", "name": "Local-language service delivery", "sector": "MULTILINGUAL_DIGITAL_SERVICES", "causalLanes": [ "LOCALIZATION_CONTROL", "CAPABILITY_PRICE", "DISTRIBUTION_RAILS" ], "unitOfObservation": "Completed user task in one declared language, intent and service channel", "treatmentDefinition": "Task is served by a versioned speech, translation or language model with end-to-end outcome logging", "adoptionNumerator": "Eligible tasks completed without human language mediation", "adoptionDenominator": "All eligible tasks initiated in the same language-intent cohort", "productivityMetrics": [ "task_success_rate", "median_latency_seconds", "cost_per_successful_task", "human_escalation_rate" ], "displacementMetric": "Human interpretation or support minutes per successful task", "counterfactualDesign": "Matched language-intent cohorts served by the prior human or non-generative workflow with equal channel and difficulty mix", "baselineWindow": "MINIMUM_28_DAYS_PRE_TREATMENT", "observationWindow": "MINIMUM_28_DAYS_POST_TREATMENT", "minimumSample": { "treatedUnits": 3000, "controlUnits": 3000, "treatedTeams": 1, "controlTeams": 1 }, "sourceIds": [ "IND-SRC-007", "IND-SRC-012", "IND-SRC-013" ], "baselineReceiptIds": [], "currentState": "CAPABILITY_ONLY", "falsifier": "The AI route fails to match the control on successful task completion after cost, latency and escalation are included.", "baselineReceiptCount": 0, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "measurementReady": false, "evidenceGap": "CAPABILITY_OR_PRICE_EXISTS_BUT_PRODUCTION_USAGE_AND_MATCHED_CONTROL_ARE_MISSING" }, { "workflowId": "IND-WF-005", "name": "MSME digital commerce operations", "sector": "OPEN_DIGITAL_COMMERCE", "causalLanes": [ "DISTRIBUTION_RAILS", "WORKFLOW_REPRICING", "OWNER_CASH_AND_PRICE" ], "unitOfObservation": "Completed commerce order for a continuously observable seller cohort", "treatmentDefinition": "Seller cohort adopts a named AI merchandising, support, pricing or operations workflow with dated activation", "adoptionNumerator": "Eligible active sellers using the identified AI workflow", "adoptionDenominator": "All eligible active sellers in the treated network cohort", "productivityMetrics": [ "completed_orders_per_active_seller", "contribution_margin_per_order", "cancellation_rate", "support_cost_per_order" ], "displacementMetric": "Seller and support labour minutes per completed order", "counterfactualDesign": "Matched sellers by category, city, tenure, pre-period orders and price band using a phased rollout or synthetic control", "baselineWindow": "MINIMUM_84_DAYS_PRE_TREATMENT", "observationWindow": "MINIMUM_84_DAYS_POST_TREATMENT", "minimumSample": { "treatedUnits": 50000, "controlUnits": 50000, "treatedTeams": 100, "controlTeams": 100 }, "sourceIds": [ "IND-SRC-003", "IND-SRC-006", "IND-SRC-016" ], "baselineReceiptIds": [ "IND-OBS-002" ], "currentState": "BASELINE_ONLY", "falsifier": "Matched sellers show no quality-adjusted improvement in contribution margin or orders per active seller after support and cancellation costs.", "baselineReceiptCount": 1, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "measurementReady": false, "evidenceGap": "OFFICIAL_BASELINE_EXISTS_BUT_AI_TREATMENT_AND_MATCHED_CONTROL_ARE_MISSING" }, { "workflowId": "IND-WF-006", "name": "Subsidised AI compute to production", "sector": "AI_COMPUTE_DEPLOYMENT", "causalLanes": [ "CAPABILITY_PRICE", "PHYSICAL_CAPACITY", "OWNER_CASH_AND_PRICE" ], "unitOfObservation": "Approved compute project with a dated allocation and production-status follow-up", "treatmentDefinition": "Project begins consuming the allocated compute under an identified service and price schedule", "adoptionNumerator": "Allocated projects reaching a verified recurring production workload by the deadline", "adoptionDenominator": "All eligible allocated projects whose production deadline has elapsed", "productivityMetrics": [ "production_conversion_rate", "median_days_to_first_workload", "recurring_gpu_hours_per_project", "effective_cost_per_production_gpu_hour" ], "displacementMetric": "Change in compute spend and human development time per production workload versus the pre-allocation route", "counterfactualDesign": "Matched eligible applicants without an allocation or projects using the prior commercial route, matched on category, requested GPU class and project maturity", "baselineWindow": "APPLICATION_AND_PRE_ALLOCATION_RECORD", "observationWindow": "MINIMUM_90_DAYS_AFTER_START_DEADLINE", "minimumSample": { "treatedUnits": 30, "controlUnits": 30, "treatedTeams": 30, "controlTeams": 30 }, "sourceIds": [ "IND-SRC-010", "IND-SRC-011" ], "baselineReceiptIds": [ "IND-OBS-003" ], "currentState": "CAPABILITY_ONLY", "falsifier": "Lower posted compute price does not increase verified production conversion, recurring utilization or time-to-production versus the matched counterfactual.", "baselineReceiptCount": 1, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "measurementReady": false, "evidenceGap": "CAPABILITY_OR_PRICE_EXISTS_BUT_PRODUCTION_USAGE_AND_MATCHED_CONTROL_ARE_MISSING" } ], "observationReceipts": [ { "receiptId": "IND-OBS-001", "sourceId": "IND-SRC-015", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ncs.gov.in/Documents/NCS%20E-Newsletter_February%202026.pdf", "sourceAccessedAt": "2026-09-11T16:18:42.169Z", "factAsOf": "2026-02-28", "state": "BASELINE_ACCEPTED_NON_CAUSAL", "workflowIds": [ "IND-WF-001", "IND-WF-002", "IND-WF-003" ], "facts": { "itAndCommunicationVacanciesMobilizedFy2025_26": 578393, "activeVacanciesMobilizedFy2025_26": 10707, "informationTechnologyVacancies": 446024, "customerCareVacancies": 27349, "administrationBackOfficeVacancies": 24494 }, "limit": "Portal vacancy mix is a selected labour-demand denominator. It does not measure AI use, jobs destroyed, filled positions or economy-wide employment." }, { "receiptId": "IND-OBS-002", "sourceId": "IND-SRC-016", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ondc.org/pages/about-us.html", "sourceAccessedAt": "2026-09-11T16:18:42.169Z", "factAsOf": "2026-07-25", "state": "BASELINE_ACCEPTED_NON_CAUSAL", "workflowIds": [ "IND-WF-005" ], "facts": { "cumulativeNetworkTransactionsLowerBound": 500000000 }, "limit": "Operator-reported network scale is a denominator candidate, not an AI-treatment cohort, seller-level outcome or issuer cash-flow measure." }, { "receiptId": "IND-OBS-003", "sourceId": "IND-SRC-011", "sourceUrl": "https://compute.indiaai.gov.in/pricelist", "sourceAccessedAt": "2026-09-11T16:18:42.169Z", "factAsOf": "2026-08-25", "state": "CAPABILITY_PRICE_ACCEPTED_NON_ADOPTION", "workflowIds": [ "IND-WF-006" ], "facts": { "gaudi2OneGpuOnDemandInrPerHour": 57.6, "l40sTwoGpuOnDemandInrPerHour": 135, "mi325xOneGpuOnDemandInrPerHour": 169.2 }, "limit": "Posted prices establish available capability cost, not realized utilization, production conversion, vendor revenue or project success." }, { "receiptId": "IND-OBS-004", "sourceId": "IND-SRC-011", "sourceUrl": "https://compute.indiaai.gov.in/endusers", "sourceAccessedAt": "2026-09-11T16:18:42.169Z", "factAsOf": "2026-08-25", "state": "EVIDENCE_BLOCKED_STATIC_PAYLOAD_EMPTY", "workflowIds": [ "IND-WF-006" ], "facts": {}, "limit": "The public page exposes allocation-field headers but the static response does not expose the allocation rows required for a reproducible denominator. No user count is inferred." } ], "evidenceGates": [ { "id": "PRIMARY_SOURCE_IDENTITY", "sequence": 1, "state": "READY" }, { "id": "LOCAL_LANGUAGE_COVERAGE", "sequence": 2, "state": "PARTIAL" }, { "id": "WORKFLOW_ADOPTION_MEASURED", "sequence": 3, "state": "ACTIVE_NO_MATCHED_COHORT" }, { "id": "COUNTERFACTUAL_ECONOMICS_ESTIMATED", "sequence": 4, "state": "WAITING_FOR_MATCHED_COHORT" }, { "id": "CAUSAL_TRANSMISSION_MAPPED", "sequence": 5, "state": "NOT_STARTED" }, { "id": "ISSUER_SECURITY_ACCESS_VERIFIED", "sequence": 6, "state": "NOT_STARTED" }, { "id": "POINT_IN_TIME_EXPECTATIONS_ATTACHED", "sequence": 7, "state": "NOT_STARTED" }, { "id": "FORWARD_OUTCOME_PRECOMMITTED", "sequence": 8, "state": "NOT_STARTED" } ], "finitePlan": [ { "id": "P08.0", "state": "COMPLETE", "name": "FREEZE_DEPLOYMENT_MARKETS_CHARTER" }, { "id": "P08.1", "state": "COMPLETE", "name": "BUILD_INDIA_SOURCE_AND_RIGHTS_MAP" }, { "id": "P08.2", "state": "ACTIVE_EVIDENCE_GATED", "name": "MEASURE_WORKFLOW_ADOPTION_AND_DISPLACEMENT" }, { "id": "P08.3", "state": "LOCKED", "name": "MAP_ISSUERS_SECURITIES_AND_ACCESS" }, { "id": "P08.4", "state": "LOCKED", "name": "ATTACH_POINT_IN_TIME_EXPECTATIONS_AND_VALUE" }, { "id": "P08.5", "state": "LOCKED", "name": "FREEZE_MATCHED_SHADOW_COMPARISON" }, { "id": "P08.6", "state": "LOCKED", "name": "HAND_FIRST_FORWARD_DOCKET_TO_P07" } ], "metrics": { "workflowCount": 6, "frozenMetricCount": 24, "acceptedBaselineReceiptCount": 3, "blockedReceiptCount": 1, "baselineAttachedWorkflowCount": 5, "treatmentReceiptCount": 0, "controlReceiptCount": 0, "matchedCohortCount": 0, "measuredWorkflowCount": 0, "causalClaimCount": 0, "issuerCount": 0, "securityCount": 0, "valuationCount": 0, "forwardDocketCount": 0, "portfolioWeightChangeCount": 0, "tradeAuthorizationCount": 0, "alphaClaimCount": 0 }, "admissionRule": { "requiredReceiptStates": [ "MATCHED_TREATMENT_AND_CONTROL_VERIFIED" ], "allWorkflowFieldsRequired": true, "allMinimumSamplesMustPass": true, "qualityMetricCannotBeMissing": true, "causalEstimateRequiresPrecommittedEstimator": true, "zeroOrNullCannotReplaceMissing": true }, "nextGate": { "phaseId": "P08.2", "name": "FIRST_MATCHED_WORKFLOW_OBSERVATION", "entryRule": "Acquire one rights-admitted, timestamped treatment-and-control dataset that satisfies a frozen workflow cell; otherwise keep P08.3 locked and publish EVIDENCE_BLOCKED." }, "boundaries": { "workflowEffectMeasured": false, "causalClaimCreated": false, "issuerSelected": false, "securitySelected": false, "valuationCreated": false, "forwardDocketCreated": false, "portfolioWeightsChanged": false, "liveOrderCreated": false, "tradeAuthorized": false, "alphaClaimCreated": false }, "contentHash": "b1b38790a66a5dd8a3c5b365f2811f1a1317b57f53ef187c11fd21382225450e" }