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24 / 26 · Data centers

EQIX

Equinix

1.5%target weight
Latest available close$1,019.40-1.3% · vs previous close
DAILY CLOSE · USDYahoo Finance ↗

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Daily candles, not a live feed. Price series is split-adjusted; total-return mode uses provider-adjusted prices including distributions. The chart does not predict returns.

A great business. At what price?

Test earnings growth against a change in valuation. All multiples below are your assumptions — not current company fundamentals.

Illustrative price CAGR—

CAGR = (1 + EPS growth) × (exit P/E ÷ entry P/E)^(1/years) − 1. Excludes dividends, dilution beyond EPS, taxes and fees. Not a price target. Not suitable for gold, bonds or companies with negative earnings.

RESEARCH ENGINE / 1.2

What must this price deliver?

Inspect reported numbers, test your assumptions and follow the next filing. A calculation is not an approved investment case.

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NORMALIZATION / v1.0.0

Normalization workpaper

A company-specific protocol, not an approved normalized cash flow.

Special model required
Model familyRecurring AFFO / NAV / development yield
OCF − cash capex / diluted shareNo valid reported proxy
Price / reported cash proxy—

Required adjustment tests

  1. affo

    Use recurring AFFO/NAV and development yields; ordinary EPS is not the primary REIT metric.

  2. net debt

    Reconcile debt, cash, preferred claims and acquisition funding exactly once.

  3. capex split

    Separate maintenance/replacement capex from expansion capex; do not assume either number.

  4. working capital

    Normalize working-capital timing; customer advances are not recurring profit.

✓ Model specification completeIC valuation approval: 0 · TRADE AUTHORIZED: NO

Reported financial base

Annual period: 2025-01-01 → 2025-12-31Filed: 2026-02-11Reporting currency: USDLast source retrieval: 2026-09-18T22:00:49.022Z

Unreviewed extraction

Reported financial base
MetricValueUnitSource
Revenue9,217,000,000USDus-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax ↗
Operating income1,848,000,000USDus-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss ↗
Net income1,350,000,000USDus-gaap:NetIncomeLoss ↗
Operating cash flow3,911,000,000USDus-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities ↗
Cash capital expenditure——Missing / manual review
Share-based compensation498,000,000USDus-gaap:ShareBasedCompensation ↗
Weighted diluted shares98,123,000sharesus-gaap:WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding ↗
Cash and equivalents1,727,000,000USDus-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue ↗
Current long-term debt1,299,000,000USDus-gaap:LongTermDebtCurrent ↗
Noncurrent long-term debt——Missing / manual review
OCF − cash capex (not normalized)— USDNormalized owner cash: not approved

Annual figures, not trailing twelve months. No automatic currency/ADR conversion. Cash proxy excludes review of leases, debt service, SBC, acquisitions and cycle. Missing values are not zero.

Company-specific method

REIT AFFO/NAV and property cash-flow analysis; the simple EPS/P-E worksheet is not the primary valuation model.

Your scenario · not our forecast

Equity-per-share DCF: do not subtract net debt again. Future dilution must already be included in cash-per-share growth. This does not measure analyst consensus. Replacement capex and sustainable terminal cash still require review.

What changed?

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RSS · EQIX

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FUNDAMENTAL RESEARCH · 2026-09-06

The investment case, under examination.

A dated research map, not completed valuations. The 25-company portfolio baseline is unchanged; IBM is monitored at 0% outside it. Public facts do not establish an edge: every hypothesis still needs normalized financials, price-implied expectations and independent forward tests.

Hypothesis · not a trading signal

Q2 2026 · Published 2026-07-29 · Source checked 2026-09-06

01 / What the issuer reported
AFFO was $11.78 per share; growth benefited from one-time xScale fees. Net interconnections increased by 9,700.
02 / Our hypothesis — not established alpha
Interconnection density may produce durable pricing beyond commodity space, provided returns exceed construction and financing costs.
03 / What to measure next
Recurring AFFO per share, interconnections, power availability, development yields, debt maturities and refinancing costs.
04 / What would challenge the thesis
Reassess if recurring AFFO stagnates despite capex, or development returns fall below the cost of funding.
05 / Appropriate valuation method
REIT AFFO/NAV and property cash-flow analysis; the simple EPS/P-E worksheet is not the primary valuation model.
06 / Still missing
Missing: AFFO excluding one-time fees and project-level debt/capital commitments.

No measured consensus gap or approved price target. A familiar good business can still be an expensive stock.

Issuer-reported figures, not an independent accounting audit. Review after the next report or material filing. These review triggers are proposed, not automatic sell rules. Weights and paper mandates are unchanged.

Why this position exists

Interconnection-rich data centers

AI needs inference locations close to data and private connectivity, not only remote training campuses.

Principal risk

Power availability, leverage, rates and hyperscaler bypass.

What the daily radar monitors

01Interconnection addsPRIMARY KPI
02Power pipelineTREND + GUIDANCE
03AFFO/shareTHESIS TRIGGER
Decision rule

A headline never changes a weight by itself. The system verifies the primary source, tests the KPI trend and creates a proposal for the investment committee.

RESEARCH → UNDERSTANDING → VIRTUAL ACCOUNT

Turn curiosity into a risk decision.

Compare the original portfolio with two defensive candidates. Then explore a virtual account — real trading stays locked.

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