Hypothesis · not a trading signal
Q2 2026 · Published 2026-07-29 · Source checked 2026-09-06
- 01 / What the issuer reported
- AFFO was $11.78 per share; growth benefited from one-time xScale fees. Net interconnections increased by 9,700.
- 02 / Our hypothesis — not established alpha
- Interconnection density may produce durable pricing beyond commodity space, provided returns exceed construction and financing costs.
- 03 / What to measure next
- Recurring AFFO per share, interconnections, power availability, development yields, debt maturities and refinancing costs.
- 04 / What would challenge the thesis
- Reassess if recurring AFFO stagnates despite capex, or development returns fall below the cost of funding.
- 05 / Appropriate valuation method
- REIT AFFO/NAV and property cash-flow analysis; the simple EPS/P-E worksheet is not the primary valuation model.
- 06 / Still missing
- Missing: AFFO excluding one-time fees and project-level debt/capital commitments.
No measured consensus gap or approved price target. A familiar good business can still be an expensive stock.